Cboe Volatility Index VIX or The Fear Index: Explanation and its Calculation
While there are other factors at work, in most cases, a high VIX reflects increased investor fear and a low VIX suggests complacency. Historically, this pattern in the relationship between the VIX and the behavior of the stock market has repeated itself in bull and bear cycles, patterns we will look at in more detail below. During periods of market turmoil, the VIX spikes higher, largely reflecting the panic demand for OEX puts as a hedge against further declines in stock portfolios. During bullish periods, there is less fear and, therefore, less need for portfolio managers to purchase puts. Given the differing factors driving the day-to-day action in each index, the VIX and the SPX are generally expected to maintain an inverse correlation with one another.
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This isn’t something that will make sense for most investors who are working to meet a long-term goal such as saving for retirement. Experts understand what the VIX is telling them through the lens of mean reversion. In finance, mean reversion is a key principle that suggests asset prices generally remain close to their long-term averages. If prices gain a great deal very quickly, or fall very far, very rapidly, the principle of mean reversion suggests they should snap back to their long-term average before long.
Volatility is one of the primary factors that affect stock and index options’ prices and premiums. As the VIX is the most widely watched measure of broad market volatility, it has a substantial impact on option prices or premiums. A higher VIX means higher prices for options (i.e., more expensive option premiums) while a lower VIX means lower option prices or cheaper premiums. VIX futures are contracts that allow traders to speculate on the future direction of the VIX index.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) quantifies market expectations of volatility, providing investors and traders with insight into market sentiment. It helps market participants gauge potential risks and make informed trading decisions, such as whether to hedge or make directional trades. While the VIX itself is an index and cannot be traded, there are funds and notes investors and traders can participate in to gain exposure to the index.
VIX® Index Charts & Data
CBOE launched the first VIX-based exchange-traded futures contract in March 2004, followed by the launch of VIX options in February 2006. As a rule of thumb, VIX values greater than 30 are generally linked to large volatility resulting from increased uncertainty, risk, and investors’ fear. VIX values below 20 generally correspond to stable, stress-free periods in the markets. During its origin in 1993, VIX was calculated as a weighted measure of the implied volatility of eight S&P 100 at-the-money put and call options, when the derivatives market had limited activity and was in its How to buy empire token growing stages.
The VIX is calculated using average weighted real-time call and put prices across the S&P 500 index with an expiration date of between 23 and 37 days out. Because the S&P 500 index represents about 80% of the value of U.S. stocks, the VIX is used as a gauge of uncertainty in the overall U.S. stock market. The Cboe Volatility Index – frequently referred to by its ticker symbol, “the VIX” — is a real-time measure of implied volatility on the benchmark S&P 500 Index (SPX). Not only is the VIX used as a quick gauge of short-term investor sentiment, it’s also the basis of many active investing strategies, from portfolio hedging to directional speculation. CFE lists nine standard (monthly) VIX futures contracts, and six weekly expirations in VIX futures.
When VIX returns are higher, market participants are more likely to pursue investment strategies with lower risk. Before purchasing a security tied to an index like the VIX, it’s important to understand all of your options so that you can make educated decisions about your investment choices. If you’re interested in investing in a VIX ETF/ETN, we recommend that you speak with a financial professional first to make sure your investment strategy fits your needs. Before investing in any VIX exchange-traded products, you should understand some of the issues that can come with them. Certain VIX-based ETNs and ETFs have less liquidity than you’d expect from more familiar exchange traded securities.
The information it provides is about the magnitude of potential price swings, not their direction. Let’s take a closer look at some numbers for the VIX, to see what the option markets tell us about the stock market and mood of the investing crowd. The real-time VIX values quoted in the financial media (aka the “spot” or “cash” VIX) should be regarded as statistics. The reality is the VIX has no publicly listed shares and cannot be traded directly in the same way as a company’s stock.
- As exchange-traded products, you can buy and sell these securities like stocks, greatly simplifying your VIX investing strategy.
- VIX values are quoted in percentage points and are supposed to predict the stock price movement in the S&P 500 over the following 30 days.
- A higher VIX means higher prices for options (i.e., more expensive option premiums) while a lower VIX means lower option prices or cheaper premiums.
- Our mission is to empower readers with the most factual and reliable financial information possible to help them make informed decisions for their individual needs.
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Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger’s advice on investing, taxes, 7 trading strategies every trader should know retirement, personal finance and much more. Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more – straight to your e-mail. Investing in the VIX directly is not possible, but you can purchase ETFs that track the index as a way to speculate on future changes in the VIX or as a tool for hedging.
It provides insights into market expectations and can be used as a tool to assess risk and make investment decisions. For instance, high VIX readings may signal opportunities for hedging strategies, such as buying put options to protect against potential market downturns. Conversely, low VIX levels might suggest a market environment more suitable for aggressive investment strategies.
What Is the VIX? This ‘Fear Index’ Is Used for Active Investing
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